CS2 · resolved market
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c8cfd10ca70703a9dc5c9f3bdaceb168c160ccf426f56f9a84576752ace8081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 29c | 1,629$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.74 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,623$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.19 | 153 | 20.9%32 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed No | 73c | 1,447$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 71c | 1,256$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 738.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…14e7backed Yes | 4c | 538.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 504.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked No | 73c | 474.26$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Yes | 14c | 410$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 403.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…4308backed Yes | 26c | 365$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 346.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…0a51backed No | 74c | 296.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 4c | 280.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…a497backed Yes | 46c | 240.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 29c | 236$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…c89ebacked Yes | 26c | 219.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 201.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 199.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…d945backed Yes | 15c | 188.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed No | 63c | 183.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Yes | 14c | 157.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 63c | 148.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 143.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…6a32backed Yes | 18c | 132.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed No | 63c | 130.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 79c | 127.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 17c | 121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…7465backed Yes | 10c | 119.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 28c | 89.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…5836backed Yes | 27c | 84.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…4045backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 24c | 77.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 48c | 60.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…cfb3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…997abacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…b004backed Yes | 32c | 56.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…54dbbacked Yes | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 41.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed No | 74c | 40.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…51cdbacked Yes | 59c | 36.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…37ddbacked Yes | 43c | 33.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…6266backed No | 75c | 29.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…60a6backed No | 55c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9858backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked No | 65c | 19.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.