NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9886fb6081c6a3954eaf7c5cda726ce027dd28b84ebc927535d910cc1c7dcd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 20c | 528.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 36c | 250.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 73c | 250$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 18c | 189$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 30c | 158$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 80c | 152$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 70c | 113.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…ac07backed Over | 78c | 95.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 22c | 84.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 79c | 62.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 19c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 72c | 59.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 71c | 41.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 70c | 35.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 80c | 23.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 4.5this page
- Predators vs. KingsKings won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.