NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2c1b576b5ac860bd1a0041b53838629009c25cd8e35df82a3f020932e5fdab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Kings, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Predators | 53c | 855.39$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.65 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Kings | 47c | 824$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 33c | 327.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Predators | 67c | 324.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 35c | 296.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Predators | 66c | 277.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Kings | 31c | 262.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kings | 34c | 257.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Predators | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 68c | 173.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…13edbacked Kings | 48c | 172.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 32c | 166.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Predators | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Predators | 66c | 147.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 32c | 140.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Predators | 59c | 119.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Kings | 32c | 118.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kings | 28c | 105.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…6055backed Kings | 34c | 98.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Predators | 55c | 83.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 28c | 78.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kings | 32c | 76.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 68c | 73.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Predators | 69c | 65.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Predators | 68c | 63.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Predators | 67c | 60.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kings | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Kings | 30c | 51.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Predators | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Predators | 58c | 49.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Predators | 65c | 49.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings | 32c | 43.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kings | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators | 64c | 39.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Predators | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 36c | 37.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Kings | 31c | 36.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Predators | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Predators | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Predators | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Predators | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Predators | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Predators | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Predators | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. KingsKings won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.