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NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Under46c24,174$11,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,044.7619848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over54c17,565$9,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,484.9851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c6,229$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under54c4,118$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.472,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9827547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c1,653$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.441,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c1,622$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.162,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over54c1,443$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.9638849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c1,298$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.4358841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c976.02$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.761,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c966.67$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c712.63$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under57c679$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.725040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under57c655$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.387739%30 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over56c556.08$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.851,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under56c532.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c523.67$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c482.8$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.452,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c403.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0333941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5e…55d9backed Over16c397.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c318.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8525449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c311$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.055855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under56c291.57$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.851343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over42c241.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under45c241.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.925569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c238.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over46c230$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.810667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under66c229$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under47c219$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c208.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.122,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under52c208$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0138447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c202.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.771,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over59c200.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under50c171.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.242035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Under62c160.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over43c151.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.945846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under63c148.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4823950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Under69c145.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.82356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under63c141.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.896261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c140.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.223,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over55c108.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.946271%44 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over59c96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under57c90.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6813552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021243.4%92 W · 120 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under59c88.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under61c83.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.573253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over53c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2160449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over55c67.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3711946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Under58c60.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb8…3537backed Under57c59.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over59c55.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.516746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2718941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Over54c43.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9217343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dda…5e5bbacked Over42c43.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb551…a2f3backed Over39c41.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x633a…43e6backed Under49c40.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over40c39.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.797345.2%33 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under45c36.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2024346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c35.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Over37c34.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.856845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.615060%30 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb20…f42bbacked Over48c32.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over40c30.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.046933.3%23 W · 46 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x114d…3b5fbacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over47c28.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263129%9 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9950…d55fbacked Over55c27.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under52c25.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.158850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under41c25.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8338551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e510backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Under61c22.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.776269.4%43 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b68…03ddbacked Over55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-68.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over55c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.530349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.211248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over55c19.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8722255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over55c18.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0542558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dd…9757backed Under74c17.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.