NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b115ce5c133c931193245b0d2fd063888309e99b9ad256fc609facdf5e7a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 58c | 3,869$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 2,431$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.87 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 1,865$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 57c | 1,614$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.82 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,311$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 43c | 1,029$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 74c | 939$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.48 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 26c | 628.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 595.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…9e72backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 58c | 435.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 30c | 284.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 54c | 268.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 30c | 250$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 247.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 201.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 40c | 153.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 66c | 152.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 27c | 151$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 73c | 116.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 10c | 108.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…3c11backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7e…eab2backed Under | 74c | 93.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…8daabacked Under | 75c | 79.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 68c | 73.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 42c | 71.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 26c | 59.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 62c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 49c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…fa5fbacked Over | 43c | 53.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 42c | 43.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…a259backed Over | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 37c | 32.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 43c | 30.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 64c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…e45cbacked Under | 57c | 17.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. KingsKings won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.