Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c40493a3c3d86b2c953c397e30eee965984638502f5bc5ead0fe5f4e2c6eea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 48c | 56,881$27,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,338.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Under | 49c | 45,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,949.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under | 49c | 44,103$21,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,334.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 30,538$14,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,679.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 18,112$8,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,328.06 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 51c | 15,842$8,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,079.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 14,605$7,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,448.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 13,281$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Over | 0c | 11,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 52c | 10,622$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…4788backed Over | 1c | 9,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Over | 52c | 8,981$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 45c | 8,777$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.65 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 1c | 7,368$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Over | 62c | 7,050$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over | 51c | 6,991$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 51c | 6,918$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 52c | 6,757$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Over | 0c | 6,135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 5,998$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.71 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 4,700$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…4605backed Over | 51c | 4,509$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 52c | 3,972$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 51c | 3,935$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Under | 51c | 3,887$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 51c | 3,388$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 51c | 3,190$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 52c | 3,035$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 51c | 2,990$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,915$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…4dffbacked Under | 52c | 2,887$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 2,697$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.24 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 5c | 2,132$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 48c | 2,081$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,952$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 51c | 1,788$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,774$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.17 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 51c | 1,643$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…273cbacked Over | 52c | 1,546$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 49c | 1,387$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 1,367$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.76 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 51c | 1,314$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 1,170$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.38 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Over | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 51c | 1,011$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 42c | 999.99$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 51c | 952.38$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 53c | 945.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 885.68$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.55 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed Over | 51c | 883.45$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 51c | 868.04$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 52c | 801.91$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 52c | 765.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 52c | 754.65$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 751.81$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.36 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…4fe4backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 51c | 660.78$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 48c | 655.77$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 636$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 52c | 599.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 52c | 588.46$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 497.3$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 495.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Under | 36c | 476.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 32c | 476.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 53c | 475.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 51c | 470$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 39c | 469.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 468.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.