Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Ajla Tomljanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x722c008bf4e72375c63b7df797b40ed8c57a319e07fd7c3e12a27d859b09d5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jointof Joint, Tomljanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tomljanovic | 44c | 13,841$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.11 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Joint | 54c | 11,162$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.68 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tomljanovic | 34c | 4,497$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.75 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tomljanovic | 47c | 3,863$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.4 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Joint | 63c | 3,317$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.99 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 3,040$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Joint | 54c | 2,864$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.47 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Joint | 52c | 2,147$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.43 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Tomljanovic | 50c | 2,110$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tomljanovic | 49c | 1,722$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.74 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tomljanovic | 47c | 1,483$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Joint | 53c | 1,329$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Joint | 62c | 1,326$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.26 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Joint | 53c | 1,322$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.14 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Tomljanovic | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Tomljanovic | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Tomljanovic | 35c | 1,075$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tomljanovic | 5c | 1,024$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Joint | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Tomljanovic | 47c | 957.18$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.59 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 934.46$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.89 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Joint | 49c | 755.1$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked Tomljanovic | 2c | 744$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Joint | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tomljanovic | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Joint | 50c | 476.47$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Tomljanovic | 48c | 417.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tomljanovic | 56c | 416.02$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Joint | 48c | 392.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.24 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tomljanovic | 5c | 336.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Joint | 52c | 305.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joint | 41c | 301.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Joint | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…3c66backed Joint | 52c | 276.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Joint | 54c | 235.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked Joint | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Joint | 63c | 213.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…4d6abacked Joint | 32c | 208.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…65fdbacked Tomljanovic | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…3902backed Joint | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Tomljanovic | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…4444backed Tomljanovic | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Tomljanovic | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Tomljanovic | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…35c2backed Tomljanovic | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…d80dbacked Joint | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Tomljanovic | 41c | 183.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Joint | 53c | 180.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Joint | 63c | 158.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Tomljanovic | 68c | 126.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tomljanovic | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Joint | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Joint | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Tomljanovic | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Joint | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Joint | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Tomljanovic | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Joint | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Joint | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2e91backed Tomljanovic | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Tomljanovic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…8275backed Tomljanovic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Tomljanovic | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Tomljanovic | 48c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Tomljanovic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Joint | 43c | 33.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tomljanovic | 47c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Tomljanovic | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Tomljanovic | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tomljanovic | 61c | 25.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37cb…1952backed Tomljanovic | 40c | 25.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Joint | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Joint | 53c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Joint | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Tomljanovic | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.