TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c66…8275

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST5060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Bublik vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbertbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Australian Open Men's: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baezbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Australian Open Men's: Adrian Mannarino vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Adelaide International: Yulia Putintseva vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+187.1%+$29.93
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Canucksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.