Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Emma Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ee57576eacd431b37261618c233fc8764cd9743298344f4e7759e569ed6967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Shnaider, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navarro | 17c | 14,043$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Shnaider | 55c | 2,373$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.7 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navarro | 16c | 2,048$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Shnaider | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Navarro | 15c | 1,944$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Navarro | 46c | 1,672$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.05 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shnaider | 72c | 1,593$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Navarro | 45c | 1,545$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Shnaider | 53c | 1,306$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.87 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Shnaider | 61c | 1,213$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Navarro | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Navarro | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Shnaider | 55c | 1,033$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.32 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Navarro | 17c | 1,002$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navarro | 32c | 973.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.75 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Navarro | 30c | 811.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navarro | 39c | 761.06$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Shnaider | 54c | 734.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Navarro | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…4d6abacked Navarro | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Navarro | 45c | 342.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Navarro | 22c | 335.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Navarro | 15c | 334.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navarro | 33c | 318.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shnaider | 71c | 307.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…961cbacked Navarro | 35c | 271.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Navarro | 26c | 257.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Navarro | 45c | 239$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…59f3backed Navarro | 31c | 223.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…c9f5backed Shnaider | 54c | 206$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Navarro | 15c | 204.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…2af7backed Navarro | 46c | 202$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1a…bc86backed Navarro | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…b5cebacked Shnaider | 54c | 196$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Navarro | 31c | 181.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shnaider | 70c | 167.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Navarro | 27c | 167.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Navarro | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Shnaider | 66c | 140.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2b36backed Shnaider | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Shnaider | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…7593backed Navarro | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Navarro | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Navarro | 31c | 97.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Shnaider | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Shnaider | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Shnaider | 79c | 60.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Navarro | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Navarro | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Navarro | 45c | 59.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…639bbacked Navarro | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Navarro | 30c | 43.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…8275backed Navarro | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Navarro | 33c | 42.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Navarro | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5503…57efbacked Shnaider | 54c | 34.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad38…a2b2backed Navarro | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Shnaider | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Shnaider | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Navarro | 44c | 24.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shnaider | 68c | 23.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…97b5backed Shnaider | 54c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…e683backed Shnaider | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…fb73backed Navarro | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shnaider | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…3f73backed Shnaider | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Shnaider | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 79cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Emma Navarrothis page
- Shnaider vs. Navarro: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Shnaider vs. Navarro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.