TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5503…57ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.45
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$46.05
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$44.61
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$54.08
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$39
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.54
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.45
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.69
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.26
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.55
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$34.41
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.79
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.96
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.15
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$42.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.45
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$40.17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$44.27
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.15
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.65
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Emma Navarrobacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.29
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.