Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikata
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359a2f7583e153286143384f04504c3cc1cf34090d49557247727629cc15270a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Fokina, Hijikata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Hijikata | 20c | 10,514$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.23 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hijikata | 5c | 9,355$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hijikata | 16c | 9,108$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.57 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Hijikata | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Fokina | 70c | 5,715$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.02 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hijikata | 5c | 4,812$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hijikata | 1c | 3,995$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hijikata | 12c | 2,221$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hijikata | 3c | 1,702$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hijikata | 32c | 1,598$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.03 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Hijikata | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 333 | 36.9%123 W · 210 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hijikata | 2c | 1,438$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Hijikata | 23c | 1,419$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.88 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Hijikata | 17c | 1,353$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked Fokina | 70c | 1,230$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fokina | 66c | 1,010$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.55 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Hijikata | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Hijikata | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Hijikata | 34c | 837.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.27 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fokina | 68c | 693.1$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Hijikata | 5c | 627.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a978backed Hijikata | 7c | 468.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked Fokina | 64c | 422.95$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Fokina | 77c | 389.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Fokina | 74c | 379.54$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hijikata | 16c | 371.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…f2a5backed Hijikata | 34c | 360.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Hijikata | 30c | 353.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 333 | 41.4%138 W · 195 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Fokina | 71c | 317.63$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Fokina | 69c | 309$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hijikata | 28c | 307.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Hijikata | 7c | 279.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Hijikata | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Hijikata | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Fokina | 71c | 249.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Hijikata | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Fokina | 75c | 185.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hijikata | 20c | 183$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Fokina | 69c | 170.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Fokina | 71c | 141.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Hijikata | 38c | 132.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Fokina | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hijikata | 16c | 121$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hijikata | 29c | 117.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…4a42backed Fokina | 70c | 102.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Hijikata | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Fokina | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Hijikata | 18c | 82.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Hijikata | 18c | 77.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hijikata | 31c | 63.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hijikata | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…48fabacked Hijikata | 31c | 61.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Hijikata | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fokina | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Fokina | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Fokina | 70c | 49.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hijikata | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Fokina | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fokina | 78c | 40.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Fokina | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fokina | 62c | 39.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…19acbacked Hijikata | 31c | 38.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hijikata | 29c | 35.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…8275backed Fokina | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…2b7ebacked Hijikata | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed96backed Fokina | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Fokina | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fokina | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Fokina | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…54afbacked Fokina | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Fokina | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Fokina | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikatathis page
- Fokina vs. Hijikata: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.