TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Jets54c16,931$9,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,140.661,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings47c15,000$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,879.9861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings48c12,735$6,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,614.071,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jets53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets53c9,420$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.5356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jets54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Jets55c8,528$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,690.185853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Red Wings45c8,319$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.3932744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings48c7,597$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.111,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Red Wings46c6,767$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.0811445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets53c6,598$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.9550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4451,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets53c6,103$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.761,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Red Wings47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings76c5,637$4,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.2357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Jets52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets52c4,633$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.381,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jets53c4,474$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.1613948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings47c4,444$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.3275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings78c3,822$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.411,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jets53c3,804$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.31,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets53c3,400$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings47c3,343$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.5541248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Red Wings46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62015431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Red Wings47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets54c2,593$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Red Wings47c2,513$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.7732151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Jets55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3754835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jets54c2,495$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jets53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Jets53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95440049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets52c1,782$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf2…37cfbacked Red Wings46c1,625$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings47c1,565$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.7395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets53c1,561$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.131,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings45c1,450$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.552,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jets9c1,388$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9229412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jets30c1,342$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.8199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Red Wings46c1,255$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.731148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,222$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings47c1,200$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.5989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Red Wings49c1,164$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1339344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Jets54c1,121$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.269854.1%53 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jets29c1,114$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9121040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jets53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58345749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jets53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58343548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets51c1,081$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.3683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets53c1,070$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.144551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Red Wings47c1,017$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8118258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Red Wings48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52038445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Red Wings47c1,000$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Jets51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Jets54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets61c978$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.8385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jets53c950.07$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings60c934.1$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.651,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets48c865.52$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.741,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Red Wings47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.068648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Red Wings48c834.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.0341757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jets64c824.98$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4643742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…1e50backed Jets55c760$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4181020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Red Wings47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6812742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5593…6be6backed Red Wings46c730$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb56b…068ebacked Jets55c720$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb6…a888backed Red Wings46c710$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings47c700$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e2…787cbacked Red Wings46c640$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Red Wings47c639$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6747051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed4…33cfbacked Jets55c634.93$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings52c632.62$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.362,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Jets53c600.01$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.535245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jets54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked Jets53c599.98$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.492250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jets49c598$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.641,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…ca5fbacked Jets55c590$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Red Wings46c556$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2484953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Red Wings54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.564856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets53c555$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1e…5a02backed Red Wings47c542.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.551540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9d…3480backed Red Wings47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.911050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Red Wings47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26514142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Red Wings43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Jets70c478.98$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8315360.8%93 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Jets51c462.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.131520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Red Wings50c459$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7134538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Red Wings48c450.46$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.249346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…873bbacked Jets53c440$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90e…9f65backed Red Wings47c432.04$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72f…05bdbacked Red Wings47c431.9$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2db…8be9backed Red Wings47c430.61$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0133…1025backed Red Wings47c428.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Red Wings47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7828447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Jets53c421.6$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4558947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.