NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630b97775e0c4e5ae5fad781a6f7d51bf133d57ec1f7d3ae1119dae1db344c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 17,138$9,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,878.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 15,371$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.62 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.98 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 4,959$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,495$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.62 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 2,364$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 1,740$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 1,033$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.42 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 608.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 390.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 40c | 298.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 292$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 252$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 70c | 183.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 68c | 151$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 107.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Under | 47c | 100.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 37c | 87.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 53c | 74.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 46c | 74.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 54c | 36.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 54c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 69c | 21.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Red Wings vs. JetsRed Wings won
- Red Wings vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.