TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Alexander Shevchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shevchenkoof Ymer, Shevchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Shevchenko66c19,573$13,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.145064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ymer37c13,981$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.5111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…ca34backed Shevchenko65c13,390$8,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,665.184060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ymer35c5,871$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.412,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Shevchenko64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9843051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ymer35c4,933$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.5676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Ymer38c4,500$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.138158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Ymer33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99014940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Shevchenko65c2,989$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.19044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ymer33c2,343$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.32,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Shevchenko39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ymer33c1,862$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.461,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Shevchenko64c1,719$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.0339144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Shevchenko67c1,705$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5635247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Ymer37c1,550$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.1993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ymer32c1,505$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.687251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Shevchenko46c1,227$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.371,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Ymer31c1,210$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.327733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shevchenko48c1,184$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.82,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Ymer61c1,109$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.2638048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ymer45c863.67$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ymer39c811.5$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.648,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Ymer32c792.38$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.921,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Ymer33c674.3$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9218241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Shevchenko45c612.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4119023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ymer33c582.61$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.612,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Ymer33c517.59$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.824229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ymer34c485$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Shevchenko68c337.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Ymer42c317.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5837339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Ymer33c230$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.922840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Shevchenko67c222$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2622344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ymer46c209.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Shevchenko39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12216133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Shevchenko68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.473737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Ymer57c176.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Ymer33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Ymer35c169.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.837533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Ymer39c163.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.635944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Shevchenko68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0673350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Ymer41c132$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.714050%20 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Ymer41c129.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2714947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Ymer43c124.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.122119%4 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Ymer63c123.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811347.8%54 W · 59 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Shevchenko68c121.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.322857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Ymer49c114.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5522236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Ymer50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566432.8%21 W · 43 L-8.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Shevchenko64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ymer33c88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6c…f972backed Shevchenko68c85.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Shevchenko53c85.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6328139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Shevchenko63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.378964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Shevchenko66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7611454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Shevchenko49c70.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6811553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Shevchenko41c68.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.293043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Ymer33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ymer33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Shevchenko64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.689364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Ymer36c55.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ymer34c52.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f8…d904backed Ymer45c51.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc55…3f46backed Shevchenko64c50.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.985074%37 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Shevchenko20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ymer37c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Ymer40c46.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8516144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Shevchenko67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9004…1d2cbacked Shevchenko68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1221455.1%118 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Shevchenko63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Shevchenko63c39.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.655050%25 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Ymer36c35.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa660…f81abacked Ymer39c35.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.661675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x602a…5ab7backed Ymer36c34.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked Ymer50c33.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8126…eb8abacked Ymer60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Ymer64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Ymer38c30.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c66…8275backed Shevchenko65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Shevchenko68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4115229.6%45 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Shevchenko55c25.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6527627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x783b…3679backed Shevchenko68c19.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.353847.4%18 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Shevchenko63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.033,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Shevchenko65c15.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.342944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.