TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x602a…5ab7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.2%+$13.46
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+68.2%+$27.87
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+32%+$34.32
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+34.6%+$61.56
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.64
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$166.63
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$65.96
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$100.8
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.9
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49.02
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.98
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.47
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+207.2%+$87.27
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.82
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$92.68
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+91.8%+$61.4
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$48.52
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.09
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.1%+$9.37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$4.29
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+115%+$192.03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$23.08
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+79.7%+$73.2
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+176.1%+$47.2
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+67.4%+$7.27
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.6%+$33.49
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.8%+$61.55
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.7%+$17.05
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U19 World Cup: South Africa Under-19s vs Sri Lanka Under-19sbacked Sri Lanka Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.8%+$9.37
U19 World Cup: Australia Under-19s vs West Indies Under-19sbacked Australia Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.8%+$7.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.9%+$7.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+32.2%+$3.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$310.1
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+146.5%+$16.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+90%+$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.