Movies · resolved market
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab10207919644febebabfeeb8194dc2c637ffe5f5f3f4246e8b0a7238a36f68f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 29c | 16,962$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked Yes | 78c | 7,616$5,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 74c | 7,076$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 65c | 4,508$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.01 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 80c | 4,450$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 13c | 2,463$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.66 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…1863backed Yes | 36c | 1,670$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 1,625$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 23c | 1,300$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…c07ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,241$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,177$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.67 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 987.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 22c | 934.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…538dbacked Yes | 40c | 883.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 34c | 855.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed No | 12c | 838.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 17c | 817.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 754.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 20c | 754.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 79c | 546.96$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 11c | 541$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…281bbacked No | 19c | 521.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 10c | 499.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 76c | 458.74$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 77c | 452$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 75c | 435.01$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…dce7backed No | 45c | 426.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…8f24backed No | 29c | 404.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed Yes | 73c | 403$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 77c | 398$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 17c | 360.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 11c | 358$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 351.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 79c | 334.89$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 8c | 333.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 13c | 325.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…a81cbacked Yes | 64c | 307.56$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efb…d189backed No | 22c | 296.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 78c | 294$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 80c | 293.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 30c | 287.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…e3e4backed Yes | 79c | 280.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 65c | 273.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…8db9backed No | 14c | 263$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 250.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…6bbebacked No | 12c | 244$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…1612backed No | 16c | 229.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 26c | 228.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 16c | 215.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed No | 31c | 206.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e49…4e74backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 54c | 182.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 25c | 175.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 13c | 168.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 13c | 167.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78a…9f65backed Yes | 27c | 167.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 29c | 166.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…f5b1backed No | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…aba5backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…f04abacked No | 10c | 152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 42c | 150.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 66c | 150.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 15c | 149.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed No | 16c | 149.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed No | 14c | 148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…02b6backed No | 17c | 143.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 35c | 141.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 17c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…0275backed Yes | 74c | 136.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 131.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 15c | 131.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…afe7backed No | 8c | 127.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 21c | 127.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 127.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 40c | 122$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…e660backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 14c | 106.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…23f7backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 29c | 97.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed No | 22c | 95.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 17c | 90.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…457bbacked No | 17c | 87.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?this page
- Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
- Will a contestant numbered 101 - 125 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
- Will a contestant numbered 126 - 150 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
- Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
- Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
- Will a contestant numbered 51 - 75 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
- Will a contestant numbered 76 - 100 win Beast Games: Season 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.