Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexandre Muller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc997fc37c95617569e93c5b630890a89a083eb5dacaba8598be29180e6b31636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mullerof Popyrin, Muller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Popyrin | 64c | 12,438$7,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,925.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…d904backed Popyrin | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Popyrin | 70c | 10,846$7,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,604.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Muller | 51c | 9,138$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Muller | 52c | 6,622$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.43 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Muller | 10c | 4,682$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.22 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Popyrin | 57c | 4,613$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.9 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Muller | 51c | 4,511$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.02 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Muller | 53c | 4,274$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.12 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Popyrin | 43c | 2,721$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.97 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Muller | 40c | 2,707$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Muller | 53c | 2,645$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.23 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Muller | 27c | 2,580$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.94 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…9878backed Popyrin | 58c | 2,452$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Muller | 38c | 2,420$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Popyrin | 64c | 2,312$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.68 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Popyrin | 44c | 2,276$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Popyrin | 64c | 1,970$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.85 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Muller | 46c | 1,919$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Muller | 58c | 1,733$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Muller | 27c | 1,730$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.49 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Muller | 30c | 1,710$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.8 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Muller | 30c | 1,530$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Popyrin | 69c | 1,345$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.59 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Popyrin | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Popyrin | 76c | 1,240$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Muller | 19c | 1,209$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.06 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Popyrin | 60c | 1,135$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.02 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Popyrin | 58c | 1,133$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Muller | 35c | 1,105$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.33 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Popyrin | 48c | 1,082$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.29 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Muller | 33c | 1,050$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.5 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Popyrin | 70c | 1,000$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.18 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Muller | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Muller | 28c | 999.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.53 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Muller | 48c | 996.36$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Muller | 27c | 964.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.28 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Popyrin | 68c | 952.93$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Muller | 30c | 899.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.86 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Muller | 34c | 820$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.1 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Popyrin | 46c | 802.08$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.72 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…8672backed Popyrin | 73c | 800$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Popyrin | 48c | 749.64$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Muller | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Muller | 78c | 729.66$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Muller | 17c | 651.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Popyrin | 64c | 623.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed Muller | 19c | 599.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Muller | 33c | 598.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Muller | 25c | 584.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Muller | 23c | 566.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.52 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Popyrin | 46c | 559.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Muller | 40c | 494.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.47 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Muller | 51c | 480.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Muller | 22c | 477.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Popyrin | 58c | 470$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Muller | 35c | 464.47$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…e517backed Muller | 48c | 416.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Popyrin | 52c | 412.59$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…0702backed Popyrin | 69c | 403.81$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Muller | 28c | 334.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Muller | 17c | 334.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.39 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Muller | 30c | 333.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Popyrin | 61c | 326.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Popyrin | 79c | 300$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Muller | 7c | 299.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.98 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…6ddbbacked Muller | 30c | 286.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Popyrin | 60c | 277.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Popyrin | 63c | 265.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…05adbacked Popyrin | 76c | 258.77$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Muller | 25c | 255.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Muller | 27c | 246.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Muller | 66c | 242.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Muller | 23c | 237.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Popyrin | 48c | 229.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Popyrin | 51c | 227.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Muller | 23c | 221.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…f667backed Muller | 49c | 212.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Muller | 37c | 206.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bc44backed Muller | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Muller | 8c | 200$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Muller | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Popyrin | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Muller | 63c | 185.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Muller | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Muller | 45c | 158.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Popyrin | 60c | 148.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Muller | 34c | 147.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…3290backed Popyrin | 58c | 147.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…80f0backed Muller | 26c | 133.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Muller | 24c | 132.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Popyrin | 80c | 131.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Muller | 21c | 129.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Muller | 35c | 123.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Popyrin | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Muller | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Muller | 19c | 106.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Popyrin | 74c | 100.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Popyrin | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed Muller | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexandre Mullerthis page
- Popyrin vs. Muller: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)Muller won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.