Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ac9d130ddf58b9e5deab7966558b9f6b42129c1c8cf421c43f0571df5eac95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 9,044$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 6,667$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 47c | 3,118$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.58 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Yes | 77c | 2,100$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 1,544$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.22 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 17c | 1,458$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.59 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 1,166$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.92 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 1,063$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,036$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.16 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 34c | 1,010$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 578$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.7 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 342.7$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 46c | 321.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 259.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 201.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 64c | 162.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 46c | 159.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 128$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 46c | 110.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 30c | 94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…73f5backed Yes | 30c | 84.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 35c | 76.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 51c | 73.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 60c | 66.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 62.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 40c | 59.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 51.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 50.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes | 31c | 45.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 44.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…d337backed No | 72c | 36.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…5ab7backed Yes | 41c | 27.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 45c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 63c | 17.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.