Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555553e52edc5977d6525d1c39166b4ba5106e09321e20a895c8adff67372ef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 70c | 20,925$14,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.49 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 14,238$9,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.17 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 31c | 8,332$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.4 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 7,787$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 69c | 6,497$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 5,687$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 2,029$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.07 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 854.86$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 68c | 837$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 31c | 795.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 34c | 744.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 716.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 484$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 39c | 459.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 51c | 452$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 441.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 31c | 432$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 339.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 51c | 291.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 30c | 257.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 255.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 40c | 250.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed No | 66c | 150.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 141.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 46c | 131.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed Yes | 31c | 118.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 111.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 30c | 108.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 29c | 104.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 88.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 66c | 80.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 29c | 80.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 64.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 38c | 64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 32c | 52.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 46.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 75c | 44.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118b…7f7cbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 29c | 39.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 57c | 36.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 32c | 35.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 30c | 33.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 60c | 30.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 65c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.