TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Under46c304,528$140,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,082.8121754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over54c257,333$138,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,394.7735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over54c25,102$13,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,575.6278155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Under52c12,304$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3504252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over52c12,111$6,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,813.2424748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c10,361$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c10,190$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under46c8,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71012054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under47c7,243$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.116954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c4,461$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.161,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c3,389$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.721,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under49c1,908$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.3514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,880$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.341,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c871$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.664,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under47c800$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36814150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c600$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28311354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25038645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under48c438.98$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7111159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under48c415.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Under46c376.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.261540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c372.61$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0318844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under46c325.04$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.424660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under47c323.74$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1610049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c304.51$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.868750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over54c288.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1241354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under48c280$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.46159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.855560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over55c246.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1869350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c239.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0521347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under48c230.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9919657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e30…bbfebacked Under47c225.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under47c202.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.353961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over54c173.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.69352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7215156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Under48c145.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c134$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.385,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under48c114.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9918656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under47c103.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.744951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.123473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under46c94.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4912341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.34868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a92…ebe3backed Under47c86.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over54c83.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.829543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67d…cb3bbacked Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c81.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under48c79.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0217258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under48c77.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.025950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a5…567dbacked Under47c61.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8335050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c57.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3117943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over59c55.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.332,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over54c50.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4316755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeccd…d100backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under47c47.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.17844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under46c45.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.795444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Under48c42.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.371850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under47c40.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.099257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Under46c38.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over53c38.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9134649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Over50c36.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Under46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.645549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under47c32.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.387251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602a…5ab7backed Under48c31.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under47c29.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7812560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bd7…e9f5backed Under47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under47c24.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.546755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under47c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.225763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over50c20.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.