TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$827,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$830,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c302,451$157,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,178.9735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c300,000$144,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over52c250,065$130,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,031.3389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c223,749$107,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,399.3469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under52c67,284$35,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,20012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c50,000$25,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,501.219860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20021636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c34,449$16,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,880.0321262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over48c20,000$9,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,33274051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c18,783$8,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,909.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over52c16,443$8,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,907.0178155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Under54c15,988$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6704252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under48c14,988$7,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,194.283756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over49c14,120$6,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,191.0624748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under51c11,000$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.0935452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Under53c10,313$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,449.941040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c7,433$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.2616954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over51c6,163$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.628539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c5,074$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.791,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under49c4,592$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c4,417$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.7589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c4,230$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.461,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47014940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under49c2,388$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.1214854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0209856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c800$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38114151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38414150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under49c770$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.126740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c697.06$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4815356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under50c689$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.54266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under48c547.38$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.747234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c435.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5111159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under51c431.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c422.5$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.254,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under51c421.57$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over50c388.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3611354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over52c361.59$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7341354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under49c344.39$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.759543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under49c333.47$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.410049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under51c303.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1478750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14735243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Under54c279.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1184660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under49c249.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under50c238.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…1accbacked Under6c199.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under49c199.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.823961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c182$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.524,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c164.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Under49c146.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.615156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under47c113.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.441,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under50c108.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8521059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under49c105.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.534951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under49c103.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.633366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under38c101.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.514942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c96…1e5abacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.985,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over52c96.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3721443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under49c80.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5817258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under75c79.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.33745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over49c60.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8827955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3935050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over19c59.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243d…c2ecbacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Under48c51.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.