Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2089c5a5bcdbd92ab2f76efd9cd05cfb862464187cae42c09954c9f89ab1deff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana State Bobcatsof Weber State Wildcats, Montana State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana State Bobcats | 59c | 1,182$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats | 27c | 1,097$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 17c | 519.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Weber State Wildcats | 11c | 504.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 73c | 402.26$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 40c | 380.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Weber State Wildcats | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Montana State Bobcats | 75c | 322.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…507cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 67c | 297.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Montana State Bobcats | 75c | 287.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 25c | 287.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Montana State Bobcats | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Weber State Wildcats | 26c | 249$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Weber State Wildcats | 30c | 214.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Weber State Wildcats | 40c | 199$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats | 17c | 185.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…5023backed Weber State Wildcats | 36c | 169.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Montana State Bobcats | 72c | 167.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Weber State Wildcats | 42c | 128.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Weber State Wildcats | 35c | 123.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Weber State Wildcats | 27c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 74c | 81.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Weber State Wildcats | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Weber State Wildcats | 38c | 69.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 64.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Weber State Wildcats | 26c | 51.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Weber State Wildcats | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Montana State Bobcats | 65c | 25.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Montana State Bobcats | 66c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcatsthis page
- Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-6.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-7.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5Over won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.