CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bbc6881a229489c16ceb6c374e9765b99220f83362710fdaf4a713c465057a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof AaB esport, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed AaB esport | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 578 | 47.4%274 W · 304 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bebop | 58c | 8,894$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.8 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 8c | 2,466$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AaB esport | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Bebop | 75c | 413.43$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Bebop | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed AaB esport | 31c | 350.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.58 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bebop | 60c | 232.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed AaB esport | 20c | 218.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Bebop | 60c | 121$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 411 | 50.6%208 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Bebop | 80c | 98.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Bebop | 58c | 79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Bebop | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Bebop | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…8b2bbacked AaB esport | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Bebop | 56c | 49.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Bebop | 71c | 45.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed AaB esport | 34c | 45.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d6…ed47backed AaB esport | 43c | 43.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Bebop | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed AaB esport | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed AaB esport | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed AaB esport | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed AaB esport | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked AaB esport | 52c | 26.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Bebop | 57c | 21.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 340 | 39.4%134 W · 206 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Bebop | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…5ab7backed Bebop | 63c | 18.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.