Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3841719176c620f03b165a3385ae3867312d2c2fd83e24c8a9fb7fa9c67e6153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa820…c265backed Yes | 0c | 18,999$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 79c | 1,449$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 76c | 867.28$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed Yes | 7c | 824.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 54c | 618.49$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 594.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 10c | 576.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 51c | 513.87$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…0169backed Yes | 76c | 507.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…8bf4backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 9c | 399.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 62c | 392.7$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…df03backed Yes | 77c | 364.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 16c | 350.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…2772backed Yes | 31c | 330.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 30c | 315.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…0fb2backed Yes | 4c | 314.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 119 | 20.2%24 W · 95 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b8…565dbacked Yes | 76c | 288.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 4c | 280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…104ebacked Yes | 75c | 227.78$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 50c | 220.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 32c | 219.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…78a0backed Yes | 47c | 214.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 77c | 207.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked Yes | 23c | 175.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…8cbcbacked Yes | 65c | 165.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 38c | 163.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 63c | 163.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…83aabacked Yes | 9c | 159.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…43aabacked Yes | 25c | 158.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…b78abacked Yes | 25c | 155.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…224dbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…a631backed No | 69c | 144.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 138.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 136.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 66c | 135.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 134.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 17c | 129.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 46c | 124.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…0bfabacked Yes | 52c | 116.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 30c | 112.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…b44bbacked Yes | 48c | 104.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 39c | 103.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…ec9fbacked Yes | 79c | 101.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 251 | 19.9%50 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 31c | 97.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 53c | 86.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…5218backed No | 27c | 85.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ddbacked Yes | 42c | 81.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed No | 62c | 79.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 75c | 79.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…6a3ebacked Yes | 37c | 77.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…3f8bbacked Yes | 66c | 74.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…9e7cbacked Yes | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…5a21backed Yes | 29c | 68.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…bbaebacked Yes | 23c | 63.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…1b9ebacked Yes | 18c | 62.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 65c | 60.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed Yes | 51c | 60.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 59.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 40c | 57.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…98f4backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…5ab0backed Yes | 79c | 51.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…032cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…9436backed Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef5…4cc6backed Yes | 79c | 49.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 71cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…5c01backed Yes | 31c | 48.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 26c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…0a4dbacked No | 50c | 44.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…e2ddbacked No | 65c | 44.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…682abacked No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…94e2backed Yes | 57c | 40.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…8286backed Yes | 42c | 40.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…c219backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…4864backed No | 63c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…15fcbacked Yes | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked No | 70c | 39.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…2df4backed Yes | 42c | 38.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…2424backed Yes | 39c | 38.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes | 66c | 38.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 38.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…68d1backed No | 63c | 36.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…9d08backed Yes | 65c | 34.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6ca2backed No | 64c | 32.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…2e37backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…ecc0backed No | 65c | 30.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 189 | 10.6%20 W · 169 L | -87.5wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84%equal weight | 5-0.41 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…8b21backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…465fbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…e1d0backed Yes | 40c | 28.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…c716backed No | 66c | 28.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…30f3backed Yes | 39c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.