NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f573b6848bef4b1e0d2c46361dd49c1c17348c688103926cb6b51c54b14558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Jets, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $963,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Jets | 38c | 293,385$111,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,402.14 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 62c | 203,791$126,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,440.76 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 64c | 156,385$100,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,805.86 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Jets | 37c | 150,000$55,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,499.88 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Lightning | 63c | 120,375$75,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,538.83 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Jets | 35c | 92,400$32,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,579.09 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 64c | 86,968$55,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,335.9 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets | 38c | 66,118$25,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,124.84 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 62c | 34,606$21,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,150.26 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Jets | 37c | 33,998$12,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,579.33 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jets | 37c | 25,993$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,521.63 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Jets | 36c | 17,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Lightning | 62c | 16,502$10,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.54 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Lightning | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Lightning | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 65c | 14,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jets | 37c | 13,601$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.75 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 62c | 12,770$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jets | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 63c | 9,000$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Lightning | 63c | 8,028$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.51 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Lightning | 63c | 8,028$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.51 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Lightning | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Jets | 38c | 6,947$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.98 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 34c | 6,500$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.95 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 63c | 6,491$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.66 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets | 37c | 6,478$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.96 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 37c | 5,366$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Jets | 37c | 5,337$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jets | 36c | 4,383$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 62c | 4,343$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Jets | 37c | 3,946$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Lightning | 63c | 3,896$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.93 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,546$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.48 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 63c | 3,341$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.17 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Jets | 37c | 3,308$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jets | 8c | 2,952$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jets | 38c | 2,602$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.76 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.14 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Jets | 37c | 2,212$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.44 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 66c | 2,138$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.08 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Jets | 37c | 2,030$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Jets | 37c | 2,030$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Lightning | 63c | 2,019$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.03 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lightning | 63c | 1,893$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.63 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 69c | 1,854$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jets | 37c | 1,830$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Jets | 35c | 1,830$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.62 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jets | 32c | 1,794$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.8 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 25c | 1,770$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Jets | 34c | 1,693$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.54 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Lightning | 63c | 1,648$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.68 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Jets | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,615$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.63 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Jets | 32c | 1,594$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Lightning | 62c | 1,528$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jets | 36c | 1,519$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Lightning | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Lightning | 62c | 1,427$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.08 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Lightning | 63c | 1,351$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Jets | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Jets | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 63c | 1,215$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Lightning | 69c | 1,213$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.03 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,204$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Jets | 38c | 1,155$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.77 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Jets | 39c | 1,141$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…a7c8backed Jets | 38c | 1,070$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Jets | 37c | 1,067$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Lightning | 64c | 1,049$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jets | 11c | 1,042$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1e50backed Jets | 38c | 1,030$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,016$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.87 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Lightning | 64c | 1,015$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.64 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Jets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Jets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Jets | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 65c | 999.86$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.25 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…9bdcbacked Jets | 37c | 985$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets | 32c | 984.75$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 78c | 981.33$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 62c | 959.68$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jets | 8c | 943.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 74c | 938.86$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Jets | 10c | 933.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jets | 28c | 844.11$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Jets | 23c | 826.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Jets | 21c | 813.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…772ebacked Lightning | 63c | 790$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Jets | 36c | 749.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Lightning | 63c | 742$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.54 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…6d93backed Lightning | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Jets | 35c | 688.57$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Lightningthis page
- Jets vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.