NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6613c6d9b64a1e766157469bab5d5a066bf65ddeb680f015e408eaeef358cc86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 39c | 204,995$79,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,759.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Canadiens | 63c | 99,750$63,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,520.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 47c | 77,187$36,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,909.13 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 63c | 47,586$29,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,675.84 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Canadiens | 64c | 29,925$19,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,773 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 54c | 21,845$11,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,792.74 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canadiens | 63c | 18,741$11,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.37 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 53c | 17,158$9,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,129.74 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Sabres | 36c | 15,799$5,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.31 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 54c | 14,991$8,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,095.19 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Sabres | 36c | 13,541$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 53c | 12,546$6,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.16 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Sabres | 53c | 10,492$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.09 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 50c | 10,185$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Sabres | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 46c | 9,870$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.41 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 51c | 8,204$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 47c | 8,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Canadiens | 46c | 7,592$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.89 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.95 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canadiens | 63c | 5,997$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.85 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Canadiens | 24c | 5,600$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Sabres | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Canadiens | 63c | 5,130$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.1 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Canadiens | 64c | 4,988$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.75 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sabres | 53c | 4,705$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.51 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Canadiens | 23c | 4,199$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.08 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 66c | 4,041$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Canadiens | 64c | 3,933$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Sabres | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 3,835$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.12 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Sabres | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Sabres | 53c | 3,777$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres | 55c | 3,710$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 53c | 3,428$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Canadiens | 63c | 2,850$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.5 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,694$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.45 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres | 57c | 2,613$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 55c | 2,548$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.13 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,414$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.59 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Sabres | 53c | 2,319$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.1 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Canadiens | 63c | 2,262$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.94 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Sabres | 8c | 2,222$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Sabres | 54c | 2,123$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,041$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Sabres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,986$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,913$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.21 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,860$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.55 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…a324backed Sabres | 43c | 1,836$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,829$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.14 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Sabres | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sabres | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 75c | 1,493$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,315$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.78 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,192$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.76 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 73c | 1,187$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.7 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Canadiens | 63c | 1,145$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,139$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.32 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sabres | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.98 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,051$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…b465backed Canadiens | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Sabres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Sabres | 34c | 953.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Sabres | 53c | 950.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 71c | 893.27$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sabres | 52c | 849.41$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.32 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Canadiens | 45c | 845.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.26 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…6f75backed Canadiens | 43c | 833.97$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens | 53c | 821.9$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Sabres | 48c | 819.76$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.46 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 47c | 800$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 52c | 778.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Canadiens | 48c | 740.29$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Canadiens | 61c | 725$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Sabres | 22c | 633.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Canadiens | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…82fabacked Sabres | 54c | 590$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Sabres | 54c | 554.24$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.16 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sabres | 26c | 545.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 46c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Canadiens | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Sabres | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Canadiens | 64c | 498.72$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Canadiens | 61c | 497.54$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Sabres | 53c | 482.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…48bebacked Canadiens | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canadiens | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabresthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.