Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6df325e267c2d67bb6554b925857270453717a4338045e1ad209eecbedd5c65a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 17,601$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 74c | 8,299$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.74 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 16c | 6,956$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.95 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 2c | 6,150$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 4,784$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 61c | 4,522$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.14 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 29c | 4,399$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.44 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 7c | 4,275$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…aa26backed Yes | 0c | 3,490$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…c0cfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,174$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,166$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 5c | 3,043$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,735$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,533$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 26c | 1,488$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.77 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 48c | 1,392$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.41 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,333$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.55 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 79c | 1,291$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 58c | 1,200$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 1,162$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.46 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…175dbacked No | 18c | 1,144$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 62c | 1,104$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.26 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 63c | 1,059$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.95 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 2c | 910$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 67c | 834.9$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 79c | 823.51$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 28c | 779.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.15 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…9549backed No | 52c | 772.15$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 43c | 700$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes | 44c | 697.28$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.89 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 20c | 681.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 60c | 619.08$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 7c | 600.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 2c | 599.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 78c | 558.55$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed No | 22c | 550$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 46c | 525$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 45c | 519.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x767d…d1b3backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 4c | 489.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed No | 52c | 466.89$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 59c | 452.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Yes | 2c | 405.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 58c | 403$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 61c | 400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 54c | 363.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 344$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 17c | 320$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 38c | 304.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 45c | 300.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…1f5bbacked No | 19c | 292.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 6c | 269.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…6083backed Yes | 48c | 269.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…7285backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 44c | 237.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 22c | 235.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…6562backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…3407backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…36eebacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…315fbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked No | 38c | 195.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 195.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 56c | 190.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c799backed No | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 74c | 180.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 12c | 174$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 11c | 172.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…1c78backed No | 54c | 168.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…ac24backed Yes | 61c | 164.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 39c | 162.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…2030backed No | 17c | 160$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 30cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 14c | 153.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 56c | 152.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 29c | 141.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 66c | 140.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…4ccbbacked No | 16c | 130.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +521.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 34c | 129.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 10c | 129$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked No | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked No | 13c | 119.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…5324backed No | 30c | 119.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 10c | 119$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…e9c9backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…b449backed No | 14c | 110$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +596.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…77e1backed No | 28c | 106.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…85e6backed No | 39c | 102.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 12c | 101.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…fed4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…8437backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?this page
- Will Israel strike 0 countries in November 2025?No won
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes won
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?No won
- Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.