Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ec3a40dfb0ad1d79df1a1fd8a0b114c93753e0f3ae30714f0ee0a4dd9d88fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5265…408cbacked Yes | 32c | 13,468$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,158.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 66c | 8,417$5,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.78 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…d4d0backed No | 68c | 6,780$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…9a7abacked No | 68c | 6,688$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 1c | 5,713$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 72c | 4,955$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.73 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 27c | 3,750$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.72 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 70c | 2,648$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.06 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 7c | 2,474$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 5c | 2,290$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 75c | 2,162$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.89 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 47c | 2,144$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.44per pick | 51cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 6c | 2,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,638$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.64 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 67c | 1,613$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.05 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 8c | 1,518$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.85 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 1,220$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 5c | 1,196$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.49 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…40f7backed No | 4c | 1,150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 18c | 1,112$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.77 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…6348backed Yes | 10c | 998.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 43c | 937.49$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 69c | 918.87$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 2c | 859.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 773.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 40c | 757.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.67 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 75c | 725.16$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 41c | 619.08$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.21 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4aeebacked No | 2c | 614.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 599.84$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.83 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 68c | 579.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…315fbacked Yes | 38c | 576.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 41c | 560$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 519.08$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.39 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 10c | 510$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 47c | 488.6$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 2c | 444$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 24c | 395.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…123bbacked Yes | 30c | 395.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 76c | 385.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 316.48$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 24c | 303$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 48c | 297.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 69c | 296$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…373bbacked Yes | 9c | 294.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 80c | 291.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 54c | 285.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…1c78backed Yes | 33c | 273.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…6dd7backed Yes | 7c | 273.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 19c | 269$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 14c | 247.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 19c | 235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…18f1backed No | 10c | 232.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 218.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…6f83backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…495cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…4ad3backed Yes | 30c | 197.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 53c | 194.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 193$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked Yes | 33c | 192.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 43c | 185.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…5f1dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a64…a590backed No | 11c | 175.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 67c | 171.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 14c | 170$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 33c | 160.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 25c | 149$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…422dbacked Yes | 52c | 135.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 9c | 124$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 9c | 117$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 10c | 112.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…77e1backed Yes | 18c | 111.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…3022backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed Yes | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…227bbacked Yes | 16c | 103.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…9738backed Yes | 12c | 103$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 25c | 102.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 72c | 101.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 101.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 66c | 94.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…5297backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 21c | 77.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 16c | 77.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 62c | 76.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…8ae7backed Yes | 28c | 72.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5fa4backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…0b06backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…1878backed No | 51c | 67.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 43c | 66.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8700…bdbcbacked Yes | 18c | 65.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?this page
- Will Israel strike 0 countries in November 2025?No won
- Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?No won
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?No won
- Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.