Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Marcos Giron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c080cb8bc12c2139129dfcaae0ba0823a05ef7baed8899e9da9cc3175639c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tien | 55c | 16,902$9,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,580.86 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Tien | 53c | 14,020$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.82 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Giron | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Giron | 64c | 8,937$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.6 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giron | 49c | 7,695$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.47 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Giron | 40c | 6,097$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.22 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Giron | 31c | 5,382$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.98 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Giron | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Giron | 39c | 4,396$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.5 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Giron | 35c | 3,958$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.74 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Giron | 44c | 3,382$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.95 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tien | 41c | 3,174$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.99 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Tien | 65c | 2,875$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.25 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Tien | 41c | 2,780$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.74 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Giron | 19c | 2,523$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.37 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tien | 34c | 2,360$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.85 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giron | 35c | 2,325$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.6 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Giron | 55c | 2,287$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.8 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron | 56c | 2,191$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.96 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Giron | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Giron | 31c | 1,559$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Giron | 53c | 1,400$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.66 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Tien | 65c | 1,382$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.1 | 642 | 40.2%258 W · 384 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tien | 61c | 1,312$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.68 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giron | 35c | 1,207$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.44 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Giron | 40c | 1,077$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.78 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Giron | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Tien | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Giron | 36c | 997.2$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Tien | 13c | 933.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.8 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Giron | 40c | 911.78$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.11 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Tien | 49c | 898.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tien | 57c | 819.15$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Giron | 48c | 801.48$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Giron | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Tien | 64c | 799$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Giron | 48c | 766.91$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.95 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Tien | 65c | 745.12$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Tien | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Giron | 41c | 623.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Tien | 60c | 609.7$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Giron | 66c | 578.39$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Giron | 48c | 537.44$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Giron | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Tien | 56c | 499.69$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tien | 79c | 487$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Tien | 63c | 476$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Tien | 64c | 467.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tien | 58c | 379.38$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Giron | 33c | 376.09$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Tien | 64c | 358.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Tien | 55c | 340.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Tien | 59c | 329.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Tien | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Tien | 48c | 306.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Tien | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Giron | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Tien | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Giron | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Giron | 36c | 277.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Tien | 37c | 269.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Giron | 15c | 261.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Tien | 70c | 259.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…b4dabacked Tien | 63c | 258.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Giron | 60c | 247$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Tien | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Giron | 35c | 236.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Tien | 34c | 200.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Giron | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fdf6backed Tien | 38c | 196.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Tien | 64c | 190.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…d2a7backed Tien | 65c | 180.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Tien | 44c | 172.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Tien | 63c | 171.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…cf12backed Giron | 37c | 169.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Tien | 59c | 169.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Tien | 62c | 165.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Tien | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…78b2backed Tien | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Tien | 65c | 141.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked Giron | 67c | 129.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Giron | 34c | 126.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tien | 62c | 122.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3906backed Tien | 42c | 121.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Giron | 10c | 116.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…d457backed Tien | 35c | 116$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Tien | 51c | 115.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Tien | 63c | 114.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Tien | 65c | 114.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…a484backed Tien | 65c | 105.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Tien | 44c | 102.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Tien | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giron | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Tien | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…2618backed Tien | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Tien | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Tien | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Giron | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…8776backed Tien | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Tien | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Marcos Gironthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs GironTien won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)Giron won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)Giron won
- Tien vs. Giron: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.