TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c268,520$138,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,882.8835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c200,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under52c30,761$15,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,898.8912754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over51c19,130$9,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,756.1369142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c17,831$8,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,910.599860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Over54c10,848$5,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,883.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1006758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,82512054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under50c6,041$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.8225556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c4,978$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.5716954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,170$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c1,818$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c881$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.544,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c838.4$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.971,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under50c601.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.635959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under44c527.59$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.754660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c394.17$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.088750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over52c325.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.129543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c313.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.811555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14791848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c291.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.679856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under50c220.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.624645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c208.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2511159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10413940.3%56 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c195.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9219657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c186.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.271,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over51c175.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.727234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under49c168.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8317258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.73,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under49c142.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c112.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.314,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0418656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under49c100.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1255840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.53,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dde…b1aebacked Over52c95.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under49c92.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9510049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under49c90.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.323473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under50c84.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.227251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under49c66.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.124951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under49c65.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.463961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under50c58.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.167746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Under51c56.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.774047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under48c50.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0912341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.534952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under49c49.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Under49c47.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.153135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…b0f1backed Under51c41.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.132055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x65c2…4d5cbacked Under49c36.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under49c30.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.765549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c30.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1613154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c29.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.815,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under50c29.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5612355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under51c27.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3512054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c25.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under49c24.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4919653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602a…5ab7backed Under49c21.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c20.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a92…ebe3backed Under49c20.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7693…57efbacked Under50c20.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a9…c0a7backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5554…de7ebacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.