TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USC Trojansof USC Trojans, Wisconsin Badgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Wisconsin Badgers75c6,660$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers44c4,084$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.985,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wisconsin Badgers62c3,399$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.263,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked USC Trojans24c3,375$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.321,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed USC Trojans46c3,225$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.3324444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers76c3,203$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.2712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed USC Trojans59c2,754$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.8122050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans42c1,808$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.191,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3f…7fecbacked Wisconsin Badgers1c1,800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wisconsin Badgers76c1,690$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.451,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans29c1,648$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.072,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed USC Trojans24c1,249$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.532,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Wisconsin Badgers78c1,217$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed USC Trojans41c1,134$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.946446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed USC Trojans28c1,079$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.7523028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wisconsin Badgers77c1,058$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.5174649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Wisconsin Badgers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed USC Trojans29c995.06$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.881323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked USC Trojans25c993.48$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.9818129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Wisconsin Badgers53c952.86$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0218654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b33…3d6abacked USC Trojans51c948.8$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a4…98e2backed Wisconsin Badgers5c903.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed USC Trojans28c882.46$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Trojans27c868.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.581,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked USC Trojans73c802.25$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.131,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wisconsin Badgers38c801.72$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.872,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ac…d477backed USC Trojans25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans50c724.17$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.471,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7c…b465backed Wisconsin Badgers73c700$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wisconsin Badgers42c691.17$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.191,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans42c579.18$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.81,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked USC Trojans23c565.53$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.592,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers51c544.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.313,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Wisconsin Badgers72c527.75$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked USC Trojans47c429.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.664146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed USC Trojans24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3046149.2%30 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed USC Trojans25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Wisconsin Badgers75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Wisconsin Badgers71c384$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.824831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed USC Trojans23c380$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.67038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked USC Trojans42c346.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.261,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked USC Trojans31c341.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.352740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Wisconsin Badgers71c336.99$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d61…fba4backed USC Trojans22c319.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Wisconsin Badgers53c309.62$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.114151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Wisconsin Badgers19c280$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed USC Trojans24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Wisconsin Badgers30c244.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed USC Trojans42c238.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7153646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed USC Trojans32c228.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked USC Trojans45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed USC Trojans45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wisconsin Badgers76c220$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.21,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dc…f68fbacked Wisconsin Badgers77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick71cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed USC Trojans16c194.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1620024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe43f…61a8backed Wisconsin Badgers53c175.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers75c146$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wisconsin Badgers76c144$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Wisconsin Badgers76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Wisconsin Badgers78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed USC Trojans22c126.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9953635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wisconsin Badgers59c125.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.314833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Wisconsin Badgers71c124.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked USC Trojans24c117.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.594544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa3…b307backed USC Trojans23c111.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.391729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d79…899abacked Wisconsin Badgers52c111.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bc…963cbacked Wisconsin Badgers71c109$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.715869%40 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed USC Trojans13c104$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Wisconsin Badgers37c100.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5436942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed USC Trojans25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Wisconsin Badgers77c99.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Wisconsin Badgers52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Wisconsin Badgers49c91.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.782927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x793d…5a89backed Wisconsin Badgers56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked USC Trojans27c87.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.025910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06ef…1906backed USC Trojans24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Wisconsin Badgers79c83.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.59366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked USC Trojans24c80$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wisconsin Badgers76c78.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.984,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed USC Trojans59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Wisconsin Badgers76c74.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2922552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Wisconsin Badgers68c72.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed USC Trojans50c70.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.385339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers52c68.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed USC Trojans24c66.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.481729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed USC Trojans45c65.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed USC Trojans24c64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.645911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf81d…eff3backed USC Trojans23c62.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans35c60.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked USC Trojans19c59.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.398518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Wisconsin Badgers34c55.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed USC Trojans23c53.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.241,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ba…4d28backed USC Trojans37c53.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.425160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Wisconsin Badgers76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked USC Trojans23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked USC Trojans25c49.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a9…c0a7backed Wisconsin Badgers48c49.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked USC Trojans42c49.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10d…3590backed USC Trojans24c44.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Wisconsin Badgers77c44.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.323450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.