Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae5da06fbbbc1b247230dbe99afbd71045dc49057966ab32984577341507d8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 333,314$162,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,890.86 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 192,580$98,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,364.25 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 54,791$27,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,847.67 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 13,548$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,415.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 7,420$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.54 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 7c | 1,099$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,064$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.59 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 1,001$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.76 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 7c | 772.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 677$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.19 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 12c | 621$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 11c | 534.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 24c | 396.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Over | 13c | 356$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 52c | 325.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 21c | 299.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 288$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 233.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 8c | 149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 139.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 12c | 139.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 116.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…6858backed Under | 53c | 103.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…0a5ebacked Under | 79c | 100.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 11c | 100.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 35c | 97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…671abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Under | 53c | 84.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 52c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed Under | 43c | 70.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 48c | 68.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…4591backed Under | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…2077backed Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…587dbacked Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…38c5backed Under | 79c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…797abacked Under | 79c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…0cc3backed Under | 79c | 63.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…7e6dbacked Under | 79c | 63.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 48c | 62.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…5457backed Under | 79c | 62.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Over | 50c | 51.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 52c | 51.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 21c | 50.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…32dcbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 52c | 19.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 19.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)USC Trojans won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-8.5)USC Trojans won
- USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin BadgersUSC Trojans won
- USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 157.5Under won
- USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5Under won
- USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.