TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91d7…5457

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick76cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.76
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$12.45
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.88
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.07
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$18.41
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.2%+$12.52
Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.79
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$17.93
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.2%+$14.6
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+32%+$15.74
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.36
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$12.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick75cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.73
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.69
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.24
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.51
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.17
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$18.41
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.14
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.05
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.73
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.24
Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.08
Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.79
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.75
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.24
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.6
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.05
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.5
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.78
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.87
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)backed Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$18.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61%+$29.92
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.42
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.