TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$810,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$811,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under45c504,737$226,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226,939.4220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over55c350,000$192,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,50039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under45c207,975$92,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,738.361,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over55c150,000$82,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,5008354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over56c100,000$55,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,040.2648545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under46c56,758$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over54c45,633$24,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,991.338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over55c35,030$19,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,763.793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c28,000$15,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5201,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c15,575$8,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,971.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4002540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5006653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over55c9,999$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.5513363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under45c8,000$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over55c5,631$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.9116843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c3,729$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.8891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7724349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.281,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over45c2,678$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.772,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under46c2,385$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.2310145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,222$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over55c1,892$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.221,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c1,658$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over55c1,113$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0326849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under44c1,040$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.617057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under48c999.99$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.696949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under46c646.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over42c623.4$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c584.53$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.562,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Under44c480$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Over57c449.75$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.391020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under43c443.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8949546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over65c415.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.588368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under35c415.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5828847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Over55c385.16$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over57c366$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.388245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under43c362.67$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under45c353.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012844.5%57 W · 71 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under43c328$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0462346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over56c302.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.277254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under44c290$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.811950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under44c250$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11117458%101 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.275759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Under46c209.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.264858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under45c207.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3936852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under45c204.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7249053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9059950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over53c192.64$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.621,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.58949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under45c175.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9418551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over55c166.87$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.736743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Under45c147.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over56c144.14$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4215349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over42c141$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1315354.9%84 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under46c134.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5911450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c133.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.241,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Over56c124.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.865257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under45c123.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6128549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb742…32c6backed Under45c122.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under45c122.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over40c103.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1911153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x103e…062dbacked Under45c100.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under45c98.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.864141.5%17 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under46c96.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.932842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under46c94.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3610354.4%56 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c89.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Over59c84.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.173135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Under45c81.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2313450.7%68 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9606…c991backed Under67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick75cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0988…bc8dbacked Under67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.77650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b8d…fdeebacked Under67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick75cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe884…b25ebacked Under67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7d5cbacked Under67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771450%7 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9be1…16a6backed Under67c74.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771040%4 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a1b…af2ebacked Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781275%9 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0819…fbb3backed Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…3c26backed Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e99…b0d4backed Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18e…8ec3backed Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick74cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd44…abc8backed Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781250%6 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf9e…96abbacked Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7622…542bbacked Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick74cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b76…0ad6backed Under68c73.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e92…50bfbacked Under68c73.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a4…5528backed Under69c72.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick73cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27a2…e993backed Under69c72.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick70cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18f7…8166backed Under69c72.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781275%9 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.435658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9874…6a8bbacked Under70c71.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781560%9 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.