NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6b8f50a29e614b42a2d602eaf8aaeba00a59aedfea2558791aa2320c9187e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 55c | 48,386$26,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,612.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 45c | 35,930$16,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,761.7 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 45c | 17,644$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,630.39 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Under | 34c | 10,182$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.74 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.46 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 54c | 6,198$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.17 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 5,502$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.3 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 45c | 4,702$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.85 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 48c | 3,460$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.25 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,819$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 1,490$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.38 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.15 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 812$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.48 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 47c | 719$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.13 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 703.53$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 46c | 660.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 46c | 604.35$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Over | 74c | 422.6$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 352.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 76c | 329.59$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 47c | 268.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 55c | 241.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 46c | 214.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 175.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 165.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 45c | 159.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 56c | 152.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 55c | 144.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 24c | 143.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 45c | 123.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Under | 56c | 107.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Over | 46c | 88.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 55c | 78.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Under | 55c | 73.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Under | 56c | 59.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…d62abacked Under | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 54c | 53.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 41c | 49.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 56c | 48.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…32c6backed Under | 55c | 48.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 56c | 47.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 56c | 47.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 56c | 41.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Under | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 55c | 34.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 253 | 54.2%137 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 56c | 29.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…c5e9backed Under | 55c | 26.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 45c | 26.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 56c | 24.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…062dbacked Under | 56c | 23.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 47c | 23.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 56c | 23.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…90b2backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…c578backed Under | 56c | 19.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 56c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.