TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$693,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$702,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c305,371$152,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,823.7287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c150,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c141,903$70,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,951.442,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over49c124,926$61,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,134.3521057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c81,460$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,999.9620758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Over51c42,292$21,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,742.938148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over49c28,977$14,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,668.8929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c18,888$9,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,255.1215952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c15,665$8,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,235.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c13,646$6,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,095.831,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c13,090$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,895.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c8,759$4,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,389.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…93a3backed Under52c8,100$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2121533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf32…e0e7backed Over48c8,100$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2122864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Over48c7,900$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1082860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddd9…fe8dbacked Under52c7,900$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1081650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c7,681$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.154,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c7,190$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.562,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under50c6,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.9914346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under45c5,556$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c5,236$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.7980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under52c4,808$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under48c4,227$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.8942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c4,143$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c3,910$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.21,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c3,884$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under49c3,276$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.582,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,098$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.435,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over53c3,044$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.0618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under47c3,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under49c2,251$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.511,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaeb…dd59backed Over50c2,171$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over55c2,131$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.7385147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c2,043$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.5245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under53c2,006$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.0219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under47c1,991$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.941,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d62backed Under50c1,821$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over48c1,801$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.610048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Under52c1,783$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c1,641$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Under48c1,610$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.252740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…5719backed Under50c1,601$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8462…f0b2backed Under50c1,521$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c1,507$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.323,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c1,457$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351b…f82abacked Over50c1,401$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under50c1,390$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69418650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…6172backed Over50c1,327$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over57c1,319$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bf…c517backed Over50c1,252$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5361backed Under50c1,211$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…b170backed Under50c1,201$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under27c1,200$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.4718743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…c41fbacked Over50c1,121$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c9…b014backed Over50c1,121$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under32c1,016$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.911,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under53c983.4$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under51c977.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c924.7$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.352,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c916.42$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc9…749cbacked Under50c901$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c846.43$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ef…aaf9backed Under50c822$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under52c807.69$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafb…1de9backed Under50c802$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116f…a907backed Over50c751$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0901…81d6backed Over50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c637.81$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c628.02$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48f7…7474backed Over50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0804…6ea8backed Under50c593$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under46c544$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2421045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd093…2fbcbacked Over50c518$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under50c515.4$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6624442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c504$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25522845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over48c484.38$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8822945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under47c480$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.754549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under47c446.81$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over49c437.11$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1920741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Under23c432.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over50c430.91$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b53…9578backed Under50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f4…23f0backed Over50c403$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c402.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.762,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16048956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c394.71$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.633,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under17c391.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.082,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.