NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36aab51ef044d18723c773c3347c0bafc90bbb0eeaa9073e1c9eedcc32b2f039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof 76ers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 41c | 9,676$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Pelicans | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Pelicans | 16c | 4,423$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.06 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked 76ers | 50c | 3,539$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,539$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.87 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed 76ers | 44c | 1,868$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 41c | 1,667$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,662$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.57 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 47c | 1,139$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 39c | 628.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 40c | 579.69$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Pelicans | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 45c | 448.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed 76ers | 44c | 332.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Pelicans | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 60c | 268.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 76ers | 41c | 197.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Pelicans | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pelicans | 52c | 187.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 61c | 167.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed 76ers | 45c | 167.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Pelicans | 51c | 161.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Pelicans | 65c | 153.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 65c | 152.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked 76ers | 37c | 127$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed 76ers | 40c | 126.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers | 49c | 117.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed 76ers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed 76ers | 35c | 93.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed 76ers | 42c | 92.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pelicans | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pelicans | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed 76ers | 38c | 76.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…29cbbacked 76ers | 40c | 68.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…6fbabacked Pelicans | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Pelicans | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 48c | 55.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Pelicans | 58c | 52.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Pelicans | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans | 52c | 45.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Pelicans | 58c | 45.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pelicans | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Pelicans | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Pelicans | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Pelicans | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked 76ers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Pelicans | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…5602backed 76ers | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Pelicans | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 44c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Pelicans | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Pelicans | 58c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pelicans | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed 76ers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Pelicans | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Pelicans | 59c | 24.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Pelicans | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…c4e9backed 76ers | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Pelicans | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Pelicans | 63c | 19.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)this page
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.