TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed 76ers48c88,673$42,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,751.6559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans51c63,600$32,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,685.192,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers49c59,915$29,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,493.732,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked 76ers51c58,825$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,825.443920.5%8 W · 31 L-11.0wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-58.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.9243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Pelicans50c28,840$14,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,42026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a9…e9b6backed Pelicans52c25,590$13,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,260.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans50c24,832$12,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,291.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans49c22,642$11,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,094.672,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans51c21,110$10,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,766.12,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pelicans51c19,804$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,10033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans46c12,772$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,890.274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed 76ers51c12,588$6,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,168.2420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Pelicans50c11,962$5,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,980.895658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans50c9,600$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked 76ers54c9,541$5,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,389.4976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers49c5,394$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked 76ers49c4,386$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.76756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11bc…aa21backed Pelicans50c3,940$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans50c3,694$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Pelicans52c3,654$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers50c2,988$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed 76ers51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans50c2,262$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1316,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked 76ers50c2,001$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.1412051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked 76ers41c1,301$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.453748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pelicans49c1,244$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.4419147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed 76ers50c1,242$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6211,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Pelicans51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Pelicans51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed 76ers70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30020754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pelicans51c990$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf484…0e02backed 76ers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Pelicans50c976.19$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.124048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed 76ers51c937.8$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9335747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked 76ers51c754.49$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.712543.2%54 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans49c730.35$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.871,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers57c627.83$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.113,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Pelicans50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed 76ers51c584.27$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.292339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed 76ers51c419.73$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7432347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers51c410$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.91,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed 76ers49c373.19$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Pelicans50c368$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18411351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 76ers55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pelicans50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pelicans51c316.49$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.411,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Pelicans51c260.25$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7332952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Pelicans50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers52c233.87$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Pelicans51c210.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5231155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans27c207.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans49c201.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Pelicans53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612743.3%55 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Pelicans50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed 76ers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Pelicans50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans43c181.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Pelicans53c154$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6213339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Pelicans50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers50c139.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.192,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans36c121.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.841,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers51c121$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.292,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed 76ers51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6525056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Pelicans56c107.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608744.8%39 W · 48 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Pelicans50c103.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9843244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked 76ers76c100.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Pelicans50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed 76ers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4938845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed 76ers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked 76ers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans50c88.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.323,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed 76ers49c86.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0316443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked 76ers50c81.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2810657.5%61 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Pelicans50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35ef…2a44backed 76ers51c79.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Pelicans51c75.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed 76ers54c73.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6446346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed 76ers50c72.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.099247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed 76ers50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed 76ers51c67.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2915849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked 76ers50c67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers51c64.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.791,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d6…04cbbacked 76ers51c64.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.743333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Pelicans51c64.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.868149.4%40 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked 76ers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed 76ers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Pelicans51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.641251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers51c59.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Pelicans51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed 76ers51c56.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8662450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345b…8cbdbacked 76ers51c56.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.862065%13 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.