NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701ff86fabfbc7f18e396d0c1445c45f28fd828adc6113c7899b5fc9ddc8c3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers | 45c | 55,633$25,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,593.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pelicans | 53c | 11,458$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.83 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked 76ers | 47c | 10,420$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.75 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 49c | 9,784$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 45c | 7,200$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed 76ers | 52c | 5,807$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.94 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked 76ers | 47c | 4,585$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.11 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 45c | 3,897$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked 76ers | 51c | 3,873$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.72 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 45c | 3,634$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 45c | 3,233$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked 76ers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,200$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed 76ers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 53c | 704.06$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed 76ers | 46c | 555.33$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 47c | 422$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.66 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 45c | 168.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 48c | 137.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked 76ers | 46c | 111$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed 76ers | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed 76ers | 45c | 98.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed 76ers | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed 76ers | 46c | 73.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers | 47c | 55.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed 76ers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed 76ers | 45c | 45.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed 76ers | 46c | 39.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked 76ers | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed 76ers | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…0cd1backed 76ers | 46c | 27.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Pelicans | 56c | 26.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed 76ers | 46c | 25.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked 76ers | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…655abacked 76ers | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)this page
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.