NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fdeee939ed17ffe5bd7f7059c7d38ccbad21bb0ce1b2b9fb994a683bfe3ec10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,738$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 60c | 1,725$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 5c | 250.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Under | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 213.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 152.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 39c | 138.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 91.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7b…1d73backed Under | 64c | 56.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…dcf0backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5this page
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.