TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over48c43,518$20,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,835.5821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over50c40,129$20,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,065.2627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under50c17,348$8,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,674.0144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c11,388$5,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,69470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c7,755$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c7,723$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under53c6,672$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5361,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b87…29e5backed Under56c5,607$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c4,837$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb505…fd09backed Over45c4,414$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…26a7backed Over45c4,306$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…e4f2backed Over45c4,303$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…f51dbacked Over47c4,115$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa12b…0314backed Over47c3,927$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb30…1fb6backed Under54c3,855$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df0…9ecbbacked Over46c3,802$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over48c3,690$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.6238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd7…1fadbacked Over46c3,647$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076a…9bc2backed Under54c3,625$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c34…2091backed Under55c3,512$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under50c3,427$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.017552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…9550backed Under54c3,201$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfc…db19backed Over45c3,123$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c3,104$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fe…385bbacked Over46c3,022$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be2…db93backed Over46c3,022$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under50c2,952$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.1418343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5361backed Over47c2,900$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…197abacked Over47c2,893$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b53…9578backed Over47c2,871$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…5719backed Under53c2,850$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f0…b7debacked Under53c2,846$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ef…aaf9backed Over47c2,825$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ded…a716backed Over47c2,822$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e8…dee1backed Under54c2,812$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8d…fff9backed Over47c2,812$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfafb…1de9backed Over47c2,793$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0804…6ea8backed Under53c2,758$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba0…3612backed Under53c2,751$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f4…23f0backed Under53c2,731$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0901…81d6backed Over47c2,715$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…b170backed Under53c2,714$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafc9…749cbacked Under53c2,705$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8462…f0b2backed Over47c2,688$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…7474backed Under53c2,684$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43eb…3d62backed Under53c2,660$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f8…c41fbacked Under53c2,652$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…6172backed Under53c2,633$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c9…b014backed Over47c2,605$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd093…2fbcbacked Over47c2,590$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…f82abacked Over47c2,589$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c2,552$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaeb…dd59backed Over47c2,540$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116f…a907backed Under53c2,537$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bf…c517backed Over47c2,512$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c2,340$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b4…1c85backed Under53c2,105$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e7…11c6backed Under53c2,100$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0943…ac74backed Under55c2,044$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6255…4d81backed Under55c2,033$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cb…bfb8backed Under55c2,013$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x713d…cf77backed Over44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96c…2269backed Under55c1,922$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b69…2161backed Under53c1,822$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd743…e63fbacked Over44c1,807$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37b…261fbacked Over44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663a…4d4dbacked Under53c1,799$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x297d…6b31backed Under53c1,723$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7368…f14dbacked Under55c1,711$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,697$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c1,608$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…ffeebacked Under53c1,602$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,546$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af7…5fdfbacked Under55c1,478$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Under55c1,456$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae04…3ca2backed Under55c1,433$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…e499backed Under53c1,313$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a2…f1a9backed Under53c1,212$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5648339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under50c1,179$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,011$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c941.81$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.552,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c883.39$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c666.25$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.91,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c659.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.51,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c614.26$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under50c608$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30418241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Under48c607$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.365550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c499.94$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1968744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under46c353.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.821540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under55c331.77$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4732347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c308.61$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.