NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1347df96ac3a48334a7908c84e1dfd8e4958d57bb2c97c229f23685d57266952

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $168,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $169,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,431 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	52c	56,247$29,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,775.08	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	56,004$26,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,775.18	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	47c	20,000$9,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,400	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over	53c	18,698$9,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,833.23	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over	53c	12,565$6,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,952.39	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+10.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over	53c	11,093$5,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,213.9	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over	51c	10,798$5,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,291.14	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,700	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	47c	6,451$3,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,032	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	48c	6,369$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.88	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	5,633$2,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,682.86	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	51c	4,175$2,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,122.22	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	47c	3,723$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	51c	3,628$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850.38	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under	45c	3,600$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	46c	2,829$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.86	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	2,354$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.04	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under	50c	2,083$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.2	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	2,000$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	46c	1,981$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.53	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	50c	1,572$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over	52c	1,512$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725.54	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	57c	1,311$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.6	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under	47c	1,280$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.59	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over	51c	1,249$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.02	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	47c	1,022$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.77	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	50c	1,021$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.6	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	45c	1,006$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.53	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under	46c	836.96$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under	47c	722.3$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.48	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	46c	721.47$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.42	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	43c	616$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.88	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over	52c	578.91$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.91	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	49c	515.23$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.46	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	49c	507.62$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.96	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	53c	453.26$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.03	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	47c	449.99$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.57	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Under	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under	49c	385.44$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.21	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	47c	385$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.95	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.05	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	257.56$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	49c	238.99$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.11	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	53c	238.18$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.8	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	51c	222.52$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.88	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Over	51c	196.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.24	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	47c	191.05$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.79	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	47c	186.25$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.54	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	47c	164.72$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.07	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	47c	144.11$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.13	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	10c	130$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under	48c	115.81$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.59	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under	49c	111.35$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.56	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	58c	99.99$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under	47c	96.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over	54c	93.81$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.15	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Over	56c	88.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.95	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	49c	76.72$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.72	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	42c	75.74$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over	56c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Under	49c	58.39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.61	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	50c	51.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under	48c	47.46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	47.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b4…15e3backed Over	60c	43.33$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	53c	41.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	49c	36.28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.69	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under	42c	35.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over	56c	34.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	48c	32.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	47c	29.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	49c	27.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	42c	27.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under	48c	26.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b9…470fbacked Under	48c	25.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.17	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Over	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	367	51.5%189 W · 178 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Under	52c	20.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked Over	60c	18.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.33	27	81.5%22 W · 5 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	65cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5this page
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
Pelicans vs. 76ers76ers won
Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Over won
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Pelicans won
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 27.5No won
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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