NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a02a09ae8eb7802afbf4b0f4452edb9d82866e0c437eac81f263ca172c2118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 56c | 14,256$7,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked 76ers | 44c | 10,560$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.37 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked 76ers | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed 76ers | 49c | 2,625$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.92 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked 76ers | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 57c | 1,061$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans | 50c | 797.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…11a0backed Pelicans | 51c | 650.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Pelicans | 50c | 624.4$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 56c | 606.59$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 57c | 482.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 50c | 466.8$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 58c | 310.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 46c | 233.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked 76ers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pelicans | 55c | 199.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed 76ers | 49c | 196.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed 76ers | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Pelicans | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 48c | 162.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers | 50c | 158.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Pelicans | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 50c | 96.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Pelicans | 47c | 96.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed 76ers | 43c | 96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked 76ers | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 58c | 70.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed 76ers | 45c | 67.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 48c | 65.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 49c | 63.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Pelicans | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…1a11backed 76ers | 44c | 53.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 50c | 53.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed 76ers | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 76ers | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 58c | 44.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Pelicans | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Pelicans | 49c | 35.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 54c | 32.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Pelicans | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pelicans | 57c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Pelicans | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked 76ers | 51c | 23.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 48c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 50c | 20.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Pelicans | 58c | 20.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)this page
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.