TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Clippers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$544,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$552,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers50c157,151$78,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,595.462,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Wizards50c120,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,0004158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88fa…7b8fbacked Wizards48c28,626$13,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,885.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d7…d792backed Wizards48c9,284$4,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf04…ad21backed Clippers52c8,934$4,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…d140backed Wizards48c8,738$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4399…3de5backed Wizards48c8,658$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f7…df01backed Clippers52c8,622$4,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,483.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22c…10d4backed Clippers52c8,526$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda36…4e89backed Wizards48c8,501$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,420.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Clippers50c8,317$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.3117250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53a5…28eebacked Wizards48c8,289$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1934…6e20backed Wizards48c8,248$3,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…c556backed Clippers52c8,211$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6270…c318backed Wizards48c8,147$3,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x207f…3d23backed Clippers52c8,081$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3d…a035backed Clippers52c7,990$4,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,154.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5f…1cf6backed Wizards48c7,927$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4164…d820backed Clippers52c7,880$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,097.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01d…bc90backed Wizards48c7,852$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,083.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4b…5266backed Clippers52c7,845$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fcf…b192backed Clippers52c7,755$4,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308b…5d4cbacked Wizards48c7,692$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd42…0d5dbacked Clippers52c7,629$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaac…eea5backed Wizards48c7,503$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a63…19d0backed Clippers52c7,361$3,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…6935backed Wizards48c7,337$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ee…3270backed Wizards48c7,278$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x662b…416cbacked Wizards48c7,170$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8852…d510backed Wizards48c7,149$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bae…88f9backed Wizards48c7,145$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x668d…0820backed Clippers52c7,095$3,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0394…26b3backed Wizards48c7,071$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb20…1bc5backed Wizards48c7,045$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…f31bbacked Wizards48c7,039$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0900…9d2fbacked Wizards48c7,002$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f96…6e32backed Wizards48c6,919$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9357…78fbbacked Clippers52c6,902$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394c…2165backed Wizards48c6,895$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2293…1fc2backed Wizards48c6,877$3,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0720…15bfbacked Clippers52c6,875$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…f3a8backed Clippers52c6,823$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6465…abffbacked Wizards48c6,645$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d3…edbfbacked Clippers52c6,561$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8022…51f7backed Wizards48c6,541$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe444…183cbacked Wizards48c6,514$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…4912backed Clippers52c6,450$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b7…ea9abacked Wizards48c6,395$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbc…a075backed Clippers52c6,236$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93f…3612backed Clippers52c6,173$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…db2bbacked Wizards48c6,154$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47eb…773abacked Wizards48c6,073$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…8429backed Clippers52c6,058$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…957abacked Clippers52c6,040$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe745…a2c9backed Clippers52c6,001$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.52425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2376…97febacked Wizards48c5,862$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c25…4321backed Clippers52c5,780$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a7…aaa9backed Wizards48c5,777$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec38…7d12backed Clippers52c5,586$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d529backed Clippers52c5,539$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e9…a019backed Clippers52c5,502$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b7…e165backed Clippers52c5,457$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec62…f6f6backed Clippers52c5,390$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc1…ee30backed Wizards48c5,376$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa507…a029backed Clippers52c5,226$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc043…d2dabacked Wizards48c5,147$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…6a22backed Wizards48c5,106$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Wizards49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0438750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wizards50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0023…1101backed Clippers52c4,996$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ec…5a50backed Clippers52c4,977$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcedf…ba7ebacked Wizards48c4,930$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc5…375fbacked Wizards48c4,821$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe5…c38bbacked Clippers52c4,812$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730f…7869backed Wizards48c4,805$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers50c4,688$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.121,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35da…e200backed Clippers52c4,581$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Wizards50c4,540$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2705152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…430bbacked Clippers52c4,538$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x121f…e190backed Clippers52c4,394$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…0d4cbacked Clippers52c4,389$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.28333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x065c…85a7backed Wizards48c4,383$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0906…b256backed Wizards48c4,369$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…c5e7backed Wizards48c4,351$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd271…9f9ebacked Clippers52c4,304$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…4b0abacked Clippers52c4,127$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Wizards49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dcf…d8b6backed Clippers52c3,869$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af3…32f0backed Clippers52c3,805$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ea…88f1backed Wizards48c3,776$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…37fabacked Clippers52c3,773$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1c…ad6dbacked Clippers52c3,732$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6335…e549backed Clippers52c3,720$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec0…8022backed Clippers52c3,682$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7821…7c65backed Clippers52c3,636$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fad…24b6backed Clippers52c3,610$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f11…b4a4backed Clippers52c3,564$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb7…53d4backed Wizards48c3,535$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.