Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff299181fa545848c5ed6a0b320436a5ab8758a6cf85d06cdb1ec52f3d1cbe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Mboko, Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mboko | 40c | 12,578$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,546.79 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Keys | 60c | 10,411$6,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.67 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keys | 25c | 7,494$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Mboko | 71c | 6,870$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Keys | 63c | 4,387$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.46 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Keys | 60c | 4,197$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.95 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Keys | 27c | 4,106$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.25 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Keys | 14c | 3,687$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mboko | 57c | 3,565$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Mboko | 62c | 2,777$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.2 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keys | 32c | 2,766$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Mboko | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Keys | 50c | 2,034$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.07 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mboko | 43c | 2,026$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mboko | 47c | 2,017$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Keys | 22c | 2,000$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.12 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Mboko | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Mboko | 47c | 1,901$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Mboko | 38c | 1,627$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.74 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…8fa3backed Keys | 26c | 1,405$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Keys | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Keys | 29c | 1,366$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.45 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Mboko | 54c | 1,283$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Mboko | 55c | 1,279$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.29 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Keys | 13c | 1,152$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Mboko | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Keys | 33c | 1,043$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Keys | 30c | 907.15$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.07 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Mboko | 41c | 903$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.77 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…6b4cbacked Keys | 4c | 877$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Mboko | 64c | 760.92$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Keys | 59c | 730$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.7 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2b36backed Keys | 50c | 729.09$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.35 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Keys | 62c | 722.84$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Keys | 64c | 722.8$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Mboko | 50c | 699.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Keys | 45c | 576.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Keys | 29c | 511.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Mboko | 39c | 500$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Keys | 57c | 426.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Keys | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Keys | 44c | 342.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Keys | 31c | 320.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Keys | 41c | 310$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Keys | 29c | 287$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Keys | 35c | 286.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Keys | 28c | 285.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Mboko | 62c | 282.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Keys | 46c | 277.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Keys | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Keys | 61c | 204.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Keys | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Keys | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Keys | 55c | 188.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Mboko | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keys | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Keys | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed Keys | 47c | 171.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Keys | 56c | 170.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Mboko | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Mboko | 38c | 160.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Keys | 44c | 160.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…7593backed Keys | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Mboko | 67c | 147.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…3970backed Keys | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mboko | 38c | 136.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Mboko | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Mboko | 66c | 125.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mboko | 40c | 123$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Keys | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Mboko | 60c | 116.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Keys | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Keys | 37c | 110.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mboko | 61c | 105.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Mboko | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mboko | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Keys | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Mboko | 64c | 93.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Keys | 30c | 92.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Mboko | 61c | 91.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Mboko | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Keys | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Keys | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Keys | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Keys | 33c | 77.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Keys | 54c | 76.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Mboko | 63c | 71.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…772abacked Keys | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Keys | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mboko | 40c | 63.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Mboko | 41c | 62.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Mboko | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Mboko | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Mboko | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keys | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Keys | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Mboko | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Keys | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Mboko | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Mboko | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysthis page
- Mboko vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Mboko vs. Keys: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mboko vs. Keys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Mboko (+1.5)Mboko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.