Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb76a7e4dee118f0dc40501eefc479a68b02022981c1fb5367914ee11a72542dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Humbert | 39c | 20,208$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,940.25 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Shelton | 63c | 15,807$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Humbert | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Humbert | 9c | 9,671$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.38 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Humbert | 6c | 7,346$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shelton | 60c | 6,577$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.61 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Shelton | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Humbert | 37c | 3,713$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.96 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Shelton | 62c | 3,229$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.89 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Humbert | 20c | 3,201$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.65 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shelton | 62c | 3,187$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.06 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Humbert | 37c | 2,431$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.15 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Humbert | 37c | 2,115$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.65 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…f360backed Shelton | 63c | 2,022$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Shelton | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Humbert | 38c | 1,997$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.7 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Humbert | 31c | 1,895$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Shelton | 61c | 1,866$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Humbert | 5c | 1,830$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Humbert | 38c | 1,782$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.77 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Shelton | 62c | 1,694$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shelton | 74c | 1,648$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.48 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Shelton | 62c | 1,600$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Shelton | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Shelton | 61c | 1,568$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.56 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Humbert | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.97 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Humbert | 38c | 1,447$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.86 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Humbert | 39c | 1,294$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.65 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Humbert | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Humbert | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Humbert | 23c | 1,063$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Shelton | 62c | 1,043$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Humbert | 24c | 1,012$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Humbert | 19c | 939.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Shelton | 62c | 786.71$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.32 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Shelton | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Shelton | 73c | 548.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shelton | 77c | 525$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Shelton | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Shelton | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Humbert | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Humbert | 7c | 450$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Shelton | 64c | 439.19$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Shelton | 65c | 423.94$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Humbert | 7c | 379.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Humbert | 38c | 371.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Humbert | 38c | 349.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Shelton | 60c | 332$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Humbert | 40c | 329.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Shelton | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…cf12backed Humbert | 42c | 309.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Humbert | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Shelton | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Humbert | 38c | 299.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Shelton | 76c | 279.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Humbert | 25c | 252.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Humbert | 40c | 251.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Humbert | 40c | 250.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Shelton | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Humbert | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Shelton | 60c | 226.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Shelton | 63c | 216.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Humbert | 28c | 215.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Humbert | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Humbert | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Shelton | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Shelton | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Shelton | 58c | 199.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Shelton | 77c | 192.21$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a03…bd2ebacked Shelton | 63c | 178.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…da1dbacked Humbert | 14c | 175.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Shelton | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Shelton | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Shelton | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Shelton | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Humbert | 40c | 159.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c0…a76cbacked Shelton | 62c | 133.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Shelton | 61c | 128.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 588 | 59%347 W · 241 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…074dbacked Humbert | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Humbert | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Humbert | 25c | 127.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Humbert | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Shelton | 61c | 112.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Humbert | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…5db2backed Shelton | 59c | 111$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…8c78backed Shelton | 60c | 109.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Shelton | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Shelton | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Humbert | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Shelton | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Shelton | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Shelton | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Shelton | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Humbert | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Humbert | 22c | 94.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Humbert | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…22aabacked Shelton | 77c | 84.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Shelton | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Shelton | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Shelton | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbertthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs HumbertShelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)Shelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Humbert (+2.5)Shelton won
- Shelton vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.