TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baezof Perricard, Baez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x779a…ca34backed Baez41c20,000$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.994060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Perricard58c14,636$8,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,554.8176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Perricard58c11,464$6,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,622.2116242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Perricard57c9,569$5,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,407.662,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Perricard39c7,434$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.675444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Perricard59c6,997$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Perricard58c6,347$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.2339144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Baez57c6,261$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.552,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Perricard58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Baez41c4,654$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.3220653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Baez45c4,536$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48559151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Baez43c3,500$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0101,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Perricard34c3,443$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.732,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Perricard41c3,359$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.574,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Perricard56c3,124$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Perricard55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9918047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Perricard52c2,746$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Baez45c2,547$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.5835247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baez60c2,278$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.68,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Baez76c2,125$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.582,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Baez44c2,070$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.1912147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Perricard35c1,916$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6671,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Perricard45c1,839$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.186,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Perricard53c1,645$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.841,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Baez42c1,602$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.521,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Perricard47c1,517$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.681,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Baez63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5555457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Baez40c1,457$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.1317863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Baez41c1,350$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7984647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Perricard38c1,318$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3130847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Baez48c1,314$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.747,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Baez43c1,153$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.1310043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baez41c1,098$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.6627944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Perricard57c1,094$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.034443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Baez43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Baez40c995.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.1264540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Perricard37c898.77$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2319023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Perricard36c621.07$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.88964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Perricard54c583$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.827,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Perricard57c558$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Baez62c544.99$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.18053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Baez43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28590335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Perricard57c499.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.997040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Baez41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.87041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Baez43c466.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8913844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…8eb7backed Baez43c440$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4696…e741backed Baez42c428.57$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.573836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Baez64c402.52$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5228754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Perricard56c400$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Baez67c375$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Baez32c368.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.751,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Baez59c366.52$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.152,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Perricard56c362.5$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Baez42c360.58$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9124229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c9c0backed Perricard57c351.3$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db6…8f12backed Baez45c347.65$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Baez41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4698240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Perricard60c333.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Perricard58c329.44$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.559955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Perricard8c312.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.912,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Baez42c270$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.622840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Perricard56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Baez40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Baez41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.937339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Baez43c235$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9516146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Baez39c234.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfe…70d3backed Baez43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Baez48c232.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.354010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f13…8c78backed Perricard58c229.31$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Baez42c212.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1518241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Perricard59c211.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12564350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Perricard55c211$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.059247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Baez42c203.4$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.978158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Perricard22c183.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.252,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Perricard56c168.66$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.451540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa402…4d84backed Perricard60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Baez69c141$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Baez43c139.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.891861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Baez44c135.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6796035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Baez42c119.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Baez43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2816158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0d…2bf7backed Perricard56c115.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4160%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Baez44c115$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.44245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Perricard55c111.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5211454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x892f…820ebacked Baez45c111.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a8…2f92backed Perricard49c102.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Baez68c101$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.321,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Baez42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5825743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Baez42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+84.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Baez42c97.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.633748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Baez47c91.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1922744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Perricard56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Perricard58c87.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0218957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Baez41c86.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.27736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Perricard39c85.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Perricard59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Perricard59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.953953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Baez64c76.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6211122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Baez45c76.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8614332.9%47 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Baez55c69.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.554835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.