NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6b9bf53366d3e4e689ed46207b33096c7cdbdb0be0f29495be7b01f31df128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $706,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lightning | 60c | 299,915$179,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,965.84 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 40c | 261,191$104,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,476.46 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 42c | 43,029$18,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,052.51 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Flyers | 44c | 42,000$18,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers | 42c | 28,605$12,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,038.15 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…569dbacked Lightning | 60c | 22,594$13,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,037.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lightning | 60c | 20,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lightning | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.96 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Lightning | 59c | 19,112$11,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lightning | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.95 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flyers | 0c | 11,133$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Lightning | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Flyers | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 71c | 9,984$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 59c | 9,198$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.08 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Flyers | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 40c | 8,225$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.88 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 57c | 7,698$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lightning | 59c | 7,627$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.01 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Lightning | 57c | 7,450$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 56c | 6,796$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.18 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 37c | 6,166$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.22 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Flyers | 40c | 5,642$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.91 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Flyers | 40c | 5,555$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 60c | 5,485$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 59c | 5,238$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.68 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flyers | 43c | 5,200$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.22 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Flyers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 41c | 4,881$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.96 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…6db6backed Flyers | 42c | 4,721$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Flyers | 40c | 4,495$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lightning | 59c | 4,440$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.43 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flyers | 18c | 4,118$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.3 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Lightning | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Flyers | 40c | 3,838$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Flyers | 42c | 3,555$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.1 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers | 41c | 3,542$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.22 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flyers | 1c | 3,515$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 60c | 3,469$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.78 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Flyers | 41c | 3,340$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.4 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Lightning | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.85 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Flyers | 42c | 3,306$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.58 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 42c | 3,212$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.14 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 3c | 3,160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 62c | 3,096$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.67 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…988ebacked Flyers | 41c | 2,951$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Lightning | 59c | 2,690$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.9 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lightning | 72c | 2,623$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.36 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 15c | 2,459$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flyers | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 41c | 2,341$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 69c | 2,268$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.16 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 26c | 2,218$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.12 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flyers | 41c | 2,144$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.42 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers | 38c | 2,110$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.8 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 41c | 2,003$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.33 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Flyers | 41c | 1,983$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.67 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 40c | 1,945$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.9 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Flyers | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lightning | 57c | 1,616$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.88 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Lightning | 59c | 1,568$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.8 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Flyers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Lightning | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,433$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Flyers | 44c | 1,276$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 41c | 1,228$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.48 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Flyers | 42c | 1,150$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Flyers | 40c | 1,115$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…2563backed Flyers | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 41c | 1,070$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 41c | 1,020$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Flyers | 40c | 1,014$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flyers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Flyers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Lightning | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flyers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Flyers | 40c | 952$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Lightning | 60c | 866.67$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flyers | 41c | 860.65$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…9ff5backed Flyers | 41c | 859.5$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 75c | 856.65$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Flyers | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Lightning | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Lightning | 60c | 822.75$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Flyers | 4c | 811.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…478bbacked Flyers | 41c | 768.29$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Flyers | 42c | 714.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers | 40c | 699.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Flyers | 41c | 691.91$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.65 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Flyersthis page
- Lightning vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.