Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94be8515ad1ec743e9bdd37d05f981bfdbac04ac0cee5eeb448ea9085a4f89a0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,609 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	9c	1,650$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.28	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	77c	615.19$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.1	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	51c	596.72$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.72	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	39c	519.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.4	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes	36c	495.65$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	68c	441.97$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	71c	354.84$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.84	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	13c	350.06$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked No	31c	338$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+227.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	70c	280$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	69c	264.72$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.88	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	64c	220.92$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.13	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	23c	217.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…fed5backed Yes	14c	215.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	135	26.7%36 W · 99 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	15c	210$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	9c	196$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fd…9963backed Yes	23c	192.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	177$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	165.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked No	31c	163.71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.71	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	10c	163.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked No	32c	154.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.15	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	10c	139.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	34c	121$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.86	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	66c	118.11$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.13	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	20c	104.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	12c	95.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	31c	91.8$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	15c	89.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	12c	89.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2794…acf6backed Yes	13c	78.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	52c	75.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	65c	74.9$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.03	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	67c	73$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes	69c	71.81$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…eef5backed Yes	73c	68.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No	30c	66.35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.35	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca78…1b88backed No	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No	38c	52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.99	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No	32c	49.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.99	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b30…100fbacked No	27c	40.54$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.59	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	33c	35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.35	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	47c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d0…ce35backed Yes	60c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	77c	14.42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.35	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event