Spread: FC København (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369145028b718cd161cf939e58638e1fb2d0c09b0a6d527b3e41ba308cbf3c37

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Qairat FKof FC København, Qairat FK
Resolved: Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Qairat FK	41c	14,920$6,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,826.4	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed FC København	52c	7,744$4,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,026.85	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FC København	50c	3,586$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.6	338	51.5%174 W · 164 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Qairat FK	47c	3,007$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,592.46	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked FC København	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2b…9e65backed FC København	51c	2,137$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked FC København	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed FC København	53c	1,950$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.5	150	32.7%49 W · 101 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked FC København	53c	1,519$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qairat FK	10c	1,342$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.1	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Qairat FK	49c	1,243$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.82	397	46.9%186 W · 211 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed FC København	50c	1,208$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.86	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked FC København	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a6…61ffbacked FC København	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Qairat FK	8c	700$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Qairat FK	45c	622$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.1	240	47.1%113 W · 127 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Qairat FK	48c	500$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.08	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Qairat FK	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	291	38.1%111 W · 180 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked FC København	51c	489.76$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.9	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Qairat FK	48c	324.04$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.02	434	27.4%119 W · 315 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Qairat FK	37c	318.58$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.34	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Qairat FK	49c	241$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.31	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Qairat FK	52c	240$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.2	256	59.8%153 W · 103 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Qairat FK	50c	238$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Qairat FK	50c	201.16$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.63	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Qairat FK	50c	200.7$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.35	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Qairat FK	53c	197.21$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.69	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed FC København	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb542…1424backed FC København	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Qairat FK	51c	184.6$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.45	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed FC København	54c	183.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-6.3wins	-0.19per pick	45cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Qairat FK	49c	181$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.86	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+15.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Qairat FK	48c	164.19$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed FC København	51c	149.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Qairat FK	49c	143$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.57	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c2…e0cfbacked Qairat FK	47c	136.17$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	39cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed FC København	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Qairat FK	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.9	383	56.7%217 W · 166 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked FC København	51c	117.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d93…1cafbacked Qairat FK	48c	116.29$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Qairat FK	49c	115.02$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.37	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Qairat FK	49c	110.97$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Qairat FK	50c	107.74$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.87	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	66cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf68…8682backed FC København	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-73%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked FC København	52c	101.31$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.68	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Qairat FK	49c	101.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.27	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked FC København	55c	101$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	152	36.8%56 W · 96 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked FC København	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed FC København	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Qairat FK	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked FC København	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed FC København	51c	89.22$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.7	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed FC København	53c	87.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.63	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d3…45c3backed FC København	52c	86.37$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed FC København	53c	83$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Qairat FK	49c	79.75$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Qairat FK	49c	72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.53	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Qairat FK	49c	72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.53	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Qairat FK	49c	72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.53	178	55.6%99 W · 79 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked FC København	52c	69.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed FC København	51c	63.85$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Qairat FK	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	156	51.3%80 W · 76 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Qairat FK	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	142	47.2%67 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Qairat FK	46c	58.84$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.77	111	32.4%36 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed FC København	50c	57.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	217	45.6%99 W · 118 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2532…5b32backed FC København	51c	47.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.39	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b60…2ff4backed Qairat FK	48c	42.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Qairat FK	38c	40.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.07	127	51.2%65 W · 62 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x408a…6b19backed FC København	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed FC København	47c	37.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked FC København	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…dee3backed FC København	53c	35.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked FC København	55c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707f…4674backed Qairat FK	49c	29.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ba…12d4backed FC København	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked FC København	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…77f3backed FC København	54c	23.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed FC København	50c	21.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed FC København	53c	20.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Qairat FK	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	290	34.5%100 W · 190 L	+16.0wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c18…34b5backed FC København	54c	18.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed FC København	59c	17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	75	56%42 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
FC København vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC København vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: FC København (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event